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Old 08-15-2019, 11:57 AM   #23
Hagar
Tuna!
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Vancouver, Washington
Posts: 1,074
Default Re: Stock Market

Inverted yield curve is only a prediction of a recession in the future. I think we already knew we are overdue. Historically after a inversion the recession is 15-24 months out. In the meantime, the last 5 inverted yield curves produced double digit returns before the market blew up. Good article on Market Watch discussing this. Good chance the upcoming presidential election or just before will be a potential trigger point. Some of the candidates tax and economic policy proposals could kill things very quickly.
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