weather for Newport Fri and Sat

uboatcdr · 05-11-2005, 11:39 AM

There seems to be a slight trend for the worse on Friday & Saturday.
Does the wind tend to kick up in the afternoon. If you get out early enough and the fishing is good at the ranch you could be back in by noon or so couldn't you? I know that it is hard to say unless you are there, but for you dogs who launch there all the time what is the norm

Made the call to go another day, don't want top get caught
in a bad situation. So will sit this opener out.
Good luck

X.ROU.KPQR.MA.F.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT
20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 20 TO
60 NM-WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
903 AM PDT WED MAY 11 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 4 FT AT
9 SECONDS. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. S SWELL 3 FT
AT 12 SECONDS.
.THU...S WIND 5 TO 10 KT...VEERING TO SW IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND
WAVES 1 FOOT. SW SWELL 4 FT AT 12 SECONDS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT.
CHANCE OF RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT.
CHANCE OF RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. W SWELL 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. W SWELL 6 FT.

$$

OceanBlue · 05-11-2005, 12:13 PM

Yes, the wind, if it isn't howling all night long, does tend to kick up in the afternoon. Saturday is looking terrible. Friday could be okay. Hard to say.

1) Beware the SouWestern (don't ask me how I know this) and
2) If you are at the ranch and it kicks hard, it's a LOOOOOONG way back (don't ask me about my very first trip to the ranch)

Bait O' Eggs · 05-11-2005, 12:14 PM

You probably have to figure at least 1.5 hours maybe 2 hours each way on Saturday with that forecast to the Ranch, how fast can you limit the boat on halibut?

As waterdog has pointed out to me today a couple times, its the south wind and west swell that is gonna make it feel like we are on agitate cycle in the washing machine.

I am not real fond of that Saturday forecast.

Salmonator · 05-11-2005, 12:52 PM

Quote:

You probably have to figure at least 1.5 hours maybe 2 hours each way on Saturday with that forecast to the Ranch,

At a true 4 and 5 I'd bet more like 2 to 3 hrs depending on the boat.

Mr. Fisherman · 05-11-2005, 01:14 PM

The wind is shifting from the NW to S then SW. Also there is an increasing trend. Not good. Weather Vortex and actually today was the day (should have been here yesterday syndrom).

Trying to beat the weather is a receipe for pain and frusteration. Typically the afternood wind show degrades conditions and it happens pretty fast. My least favorite wind direction by far is anything from the South.

If you choose to try to get out early and beat the afternoon wind show consider what it will be like to fish in the conditions you are heading into. If you aren't able to enjoy it and have fun why do it? They are only fish and there will be more days later in the season when the weather typically improves.

Good luck out there and let us know how you do.

retaliate · 05-11-2005, 02:58 PM

Usually with a low pressure system comming ashore the winds tend to blow steady throught all hours of the day& night, unlike a high pressure situation, where the wind is calm in the morning, then picking up in the late morning, or early afternoon, Im planning for Newport on Sat. & sw winds are not my favorite, throws the drift out of normal, but I'll be there, & hope for the best.

CrazyFish · 05-11-2005, 05:38 PM

It's going to be one of those weekends that you just have to be there to check it out.

OceanBlue · 05-11-2005, 07:40 PM

Oooh, Roy, did I ever tell you the story about the 4 hour cruise back from the ranch? And that wasn't even a cross swell/wind pattern.

How about the souwester that blew up while we were trolling around Area 61? 4.5 hours back and the little blue boat was a submarine half the time. That was a wonderful 4 and 5 with an occasional 6 ft swell.... more like 6ft peak

2 hours back? Would have been a wonderful dream

Nice when we went out, but boy was it nasty on the way back. Ask Popeye how the Julie Rose III fared in those conditions.

I heard it t'weren't too nice.

Be careful out there, guys!

WaterDog · 05-12-2005, 05:34 AM

I'm not sure where Roy is heading with only a 2 hour run back to the dock in seas like that unless his boat has grown into something that is haze grey and has a flight deck.

Quote:

How about the souwester that blew up while we were trolling around Area 61? 4.5 hours back and the little blue boat was a submarine half the time. That was a wonderful 4 and 5 with an occasional 6 ft swell.... more like 6ft peak

Jen, I remember that day well. "Fun" was not a word used to discribe that trip home.

.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE
OF RAIN.

Looking better.....

OceanBlue · 05-12-2005, 06:35 AM

Yeah Dog, I'm telling ya... being wet despite full rain gear wasn't a joy. Neither was having a wall of water in the face every 5 or 10 minutes. I look back on that and wonder why I was laughing so hard every time it happened. I guess the alternative wasn't much of a choice. :blush:

I'm sure glad that it's looking better for Sat.

CATCH AND EAT · 05-12-2005, 07:05 AM

2 and 7 for saturday looks better????????///

Not for this kid. Canceled my trip over this for tomorrow and saturday and will sit this one out. Last year we went on a 3 and 5 prediction with a south wind to the Pile.

I called it after I tried to turn around and motor back over the spot we just got two fish from. Looked at Pop's and said I don't need a fish do you. NOPE! WERE outa here. Was not the funnest trip out there for sure and well, I have better things to do at home than get beat up by an upset ocean.

Good luck to all of you that area going. Hope the forecast is wrong. Beware the south wind.

WaterDog · 05-12-2005, 07:10 AM

Bernie, not sure what your looking at.

My post above shows the prediction for saturday.

Although sunday looks aweful and it's got to build up to that sat may be doable if we hurry.

CATCH AND EAT · 05-12-2005, 07:16 AM

Rich I just checked the latest forcast and it is indeed 2 and 7 for saturday with SW wind at 10. Friday is 3 and 5 at 9 seconds with a south wind 10 to 15. NOAA forecast a few minutes ago. Does not sound like fun to me. Better cross the bar at 4 am bro and head out but Harrisons might be a safer bet on a day like that.

AGain good luck to all.

Bendman · 05-12-2005, 07:23 AM

What forecast are you looking at? I�m showing 1 and 6 for Saturday. They will update the forecast in about 45 minutes

COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 256 AM PDT THU MAY 12 2005 .TODAY...NW WIND 5 KT...BACKING TO SW. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. SW SWELL 3 FT AT 9 SECONDS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT...VEERING TO SW IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. WIND WAVES 3 FT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. W SWELL 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 8 FT.

OceanBlue · 05-12-2005, 07:53 AM

I think Bernie is looking at the forecast out of the CR.
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WA TO CASCADE HEAD OR OUT 20 TO 60 NM- 256 AM PDT THU MAY 12 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 5 KT...BECOMING SW. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. SW SWELL 3 FT AT 9 SECONDS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .FRI...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 3 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. SW SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 7 FT. RAIN LIKELY. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 7 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. W SWELL 8 FT.

The forecast to the north is even worse

Bendman · 05-12-2005, 07:57 AM

latest...

FRI...S WIND 10 KT...VEERING TO SW IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. WIND WAVES 3 FT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN.

.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN.

.SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 4 FT. W SWELL 7 FT.

.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 8 FT.

wthr4d · 05-12-2005, 10:03 AM

so the verdict is..

today-pretty darn good
tomorow-not too bad to fish
Saturday- almost a nice day on the water?

wish I were fishin'

Paul

Got Fish? · 05-12-2005, 04:24 PM

Man these forcasts are driving me crazy. We thinking tillamook tomarrow but I think we'll wake up a 2 and check the farcast then. What's everyone thoughts for tomarrow?

flapbreaker · 05-12-2005, 05:17 PM

I like this website because it has bouy's on it too.

http://www.weatherunderground.com/MAR/PZ/255.html

OceanBlue · 05-12-2005, 05:39 PM

I think if you wake up at 2am, you'll have to wait an hour to see the update (it happens at 3am)

greenbuttskunk · 05-12-2005, 06:03 PM

my trip got canceled. Better to be cautious. Looking pretty sloppy comapared to today. Wish I could have made it out.
A classic day for sure. There's always next weeks slot of days. good luck and be safe if you venture out tomorrow.
GBS

Boatdog · 05-13-2005, 08:02 AM

Looking better out of Newport for Saturday!

COASTAL WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CASCADE HEAD TO FLORENCE OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
843 AM PDT FRI MAY 13 2005

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT. W SWELL 5 FT AT
9 SECONDS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 20 KT. WIND WAVES 2 FT... BUILDING TO
4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W SWELL 5 FT AT 9 SECONDS. RAIN DEVELOPING.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT...EASING TO 5 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND
WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 7 FT AT 10 SECONDS. RAIN LIKELY.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 5 KT. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 7 FT.
CHANCE OF RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 2 FT...BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
W SWELL 6 FT. RAIN LIKELY.

wootersen · 05-13-2005, 09:19 AM

SW wind is Nasty...even if it is only 10 knts. And that swell is fairly tight, any kind of wind chop on top of that would be fairly turbulent. I think I'm going to stay local.

Good luck to those who do go. There is no substitute for putting the ol' "hairy eyeball" on her and making the call face-to-face with mother nature.

greenbuttskunk · 05-13-2005, 10:37 AM

I'm with ya wootie. Sticking around home. Will look at next week.
GBS

retaliate · 05-13-2005, 11:38 AM

Yes sir-ree, looks like some cancelled too early again, better to be there & not go out, than not be there & could of gone out.

I'll be there & hope for the best.

Boatdog · 05-13-2005, 02:02 PM

Just got a little better...

Quote:

.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT...EASING TO 5 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 1 FOOT. W SWELL 6 FT AT 10 SECONDS. CHANCE OF RAIN.

I'll be there with my hairy eyeball!

Salmonator · 05-13-2005, 08:42 PM

1.2 hours ranch to the tips today

. Back at the dock with three chickens by 11:20am. No black rocket but we did catch a little air at times