I've been putting in apps for 5 years now, so I should draw a tag in 5 or 10 years.
I make my choices based on a few things. First, the number of tags to applicants in past draws ratio. Second, the animals seen per hunter to number of tags issued per unit ratio. Third, my familiarity of the area. Fourth, the nature of the terrain.
We get 4 hunt choices up here in Washington and so I figure if I draw any of four areas with a good density of animals, in an area I've been to before, and terrain I know I can handle that my hunt has been made "easier" before it even starts.
Get your keys, gas up the truck, and head out for some scouting. You might find that you don't even want to think of hiking into some areas, let alone try to pack an animal out. Start with last year's info in this manner and you will be ahead of the game when it comes time to apply.