Well, it looks like the old 50% average may hold true if the forecast is even close...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WASHINGTON TO FLORENCE OREGON AND WESTWARD 60 NM PZZ200-121030- SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN OREGON COAST... HIGH PRES OFFSHORE AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOWER PRES CONTINUES TO THE S AND INLAND.
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE SHOALWATER WASHINGTON TO FLORENCE OREGON
AND WESTWARD 60 NM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON
930 PM PDT SUN MAY 11 2003
TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT...EASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT... WIND WAVES 3 FT. S SWELL 5 FT AT 16 SECONDS.
MON...NW WIND 10 KT...BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON... WIND WAVES 3 FT. S SWELL 5 FT AT 16 SECONDS.
MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT...BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT WIND WAVES 3 FT. S SWELL 5 FT AT 15 SECONDS.
TUE...NE WIND 10 KT...BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON... WIND WAVES 3 FT. S SWELL 5 FT.
TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT...EASING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT... WIND WAVES 3 FT. S SWELL 6 FT.
WED...NW WIND 15 KT... WIND WAVES 3 FT... S SWELL 6 FT... CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
THU...W WIND 15 KT... WIND WAVES 3 FT... SW SWELL 6 FT...BECOMING W 9 FT.
FRI...NW WIND 20 KT... WIND WAVES 4 FT... NW SWELL 10 FT
3 and 6, iffy, 4 and 10... I don't think so. I hope this changes....
DO the good weather dance and don't stop...