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Old 01-27-2004, 10:47 PM   #1
Born to be Wild
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Default A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

As I posted approx. a month or two ago or so the hatchery coho are going to be down approx. 1/3 from last year or somewhere around the disappointing 2002 return.
Not a barn burner this year.

I found out today that the hatchery jack counts for 2003 was approx. 36,000.
This compares to 50,100 in 2002.

The numbers of OCN's and preseason predictors will be discussed next week at a meeting scheduled on Feb 3.

I forgot to inquire about any ball park figures on possible ocean coho quota's for this season but don't know that anyone has even a gut feeling for it yet.

I'm thinking that it will be around the same numbers (88,000) as last year because of the remarkable rebounding taking place with the coastal wild coho.
But there are other factors also.

One of them I believe is the poor ocean survival of the hatchery jacks and that is used in relationship with the survival of the wild coho.
I think?

But, that is the good news.
The OCN's did it again and the wild coho numbers are expected to be around the same as last years 50 year high and not the 50% and 62% drop that some environmental extremist led some to believe here on ifish and in the Oregonian. :grin:

Where is my buddy anyway?
I want to rub it in his face next week when the numbers are released! <Grin>

Also some good news for some is that the study on delisting the OCN's from the ESA as threatened is moving right along and very swiftly and possibly be decided in about 6 months.

This means the great management of ODFW and the resilience of these remarkable fish might get the OCN's de-listed by summer of 2004! [img]graemlins/applause.gif[/img]

I expect that they will be de-listed for as I posted in those great debates, the OCN's are far from being threatened with the possibility of extinction.

Species are listed for a reason and the OCN's do not come close to those qualifications any longer.

Keep in mind that in the late 90's the OCN's only numbered approx. 14,000-18,000 (approx.) and have returned in numbers approx. a quarter million fish two years in a row now.

An incredible success story and a rare situation where an endangered species will be removed from the Endangered species list!

That's about it for now other than that dismal return of hatchery jacks there is a bright spot that I noticed.
The Cowlitz River here locally saw some 8,000 jacks this last fall and I'm expecting a big return of some big healthy coho there this season.

One other factor I might mention is this is the another year where the inferior hatchery coho did not survive very well and yet the superior wild coho are blowing minds once again.

Just another factor that science has pointed out to us over the years for those of you hatchery buffs that think a fish is a fish.

Dano

[ 01-28-2004, 05:02 PM: Message edited by: Born to be Wild ]
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Old 01-27-2004, 11:22 PM   #2
willametteriveroutlaw
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Alot of reason that the late stock cohos didn't makes as good of showing is that they were getting pounded on by the gillnetters hard this year (7 day a week openings) Also does anyone know how that native coho are accounted for by gillnetters?
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Old 01-28-2004, 12:25 AM   #3
Ty
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Native coho runs are index's by the spawning ground surveys.....

So systems w/o dam's have a very rough "index" at best and historically these "index's" have only been taking place for roughly 20 years with some consistancy.

With the great return over the lasr six years of coastal coho, I believe all fisheries managers are left believing that after ocean harvests where cut back and in some cases eliminated completly, left the primary culprit outside ocean survivals to mixed stock fisheries and poor hatchery practices that lead to the crash of coastal coho.
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Old 01-28-2004, 05:58 AM   #4
illbfish
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

I didn't hear about a 7 day a week coho gillnet season this fall. The columbia season was the same as the year before. My catch went from 30 in oct to 10 this year. [img]graemlins/icon_argue.gif[/img]
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Old 01-28-2004, 06:48 AM   #5
Quasimodo the fish killer
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

I may be wrong but to me it seemed like for all the carnage that was happening in the ocean on coho's last year that when they hit the river the numbers just werent there.

I fished the umpqua a several times and there was never any big numbers of coho there I never even got a single hatchery fish. I could be wrong but it seems like the increased ocean quota left very few fish for the river.

I kind of left me feeling shafted and like I was penalized because I couldnt afford an ocean going skowl.


Quasi

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Old 01-28-2004, 10:48 AM   #6
finclipped
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Quasi,
Most of the hatchery fish caught out of Winchester or the entire coast for that matter, are Columbia origin hatchery fish. You are going to need to come up to here if you want to catch one. Otherwise wack em in the Ocean.
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Old 01-28-2004, 02:50 PM   #7
Born to be Wild
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Quote:
Alot of reason that the late stock cohos didn't makes as good of showing is that they were getting pounded on by the gillnetters hard this year (7 day a week openings) Also does anyone know how that native coho are accounted for by gillnetters?
<font size="2" face="verdana,arial,helvetica">The late strain (type N) coho were forecast to be weak in 2003 and the earliy strain (type S) were forecast to be strong and both strains came in as predicted.
The Cowlitz for example (type N) had a rough estimate of 26,000 coho and received 30,000 almost right on the money.
The Toutle which is an early strain had a return of 30,000 which was very impressive.
The late’s across the table were weak as forecast and I don’t understand why the gill nets were given so much extra time but even so 30,000 coho escaped the ocean fishery, bouy 10, lower Columbia and Cowlitz fisheries and the gill netters to return to the Barrier Dam in 2003.
In 2002 73,000 excess coho escaped the onslaught and returned to the Barrier Dam and 67,000 hatchery coho were released up river from there.

The Kalama on the other hand had a dismal return of only a couple thousand late’s if I remember correctly and thanks to the gill nets provided a poor fishery on them.

I would be very interested in seeing the numbers of both hatchery and wild coho harvested by the gill-netters!
(And every other creature they kill in their death traps).

Quote:
I may be wrong but to me it seemed like for all the carnage that was happening in the ocean on coho's last year that when they hit the river the numbers just werent there.

I fished the umpqua a several times and there was never any big numbers of coho there I never even got a single hatchery fish. I could be wrong but it seems like the increased ocean quota left very few fish for the river.

I kind of left me feeling shafted and like I was penalized because I couldnt afford an ocean going skowl.


Quasi
<font size="2" face="verdana,arial,helvetica">I’m not sure what took place there in the Umpqua Quasi, but as finclipped stated most of the coho caught off the Oregon coast are Columbia River stocks from both Oregon and Washington and of course the Oregon coastal wild coho and some (small percent) Oregon coastal hatchery coho.

Those Columbia River stocks we catch off the Oregon coast are the early strain from both states as the late strain coho produced in Washington migrate north off the Washington coast.

The Oregon coast still has some hatchery coho but they have been reduced in smolt releases in recent years from an average of a million per hatchery to 100,000-200,000 and a closure of the hatchery coho program at Fall Creek hatchery to help the Oregon coastal wild coho rebound.
Appears to be working.

I get time I will look up last year’s return of Umpqua hatchery coho for you, unless it is that step program I’m thinking about.

As far as carnage is concerned, more than enough hatchery coho (early’s) returned to the Columbia River hatcheries and more could have been harvested out in the salt except for the incidental mortality on the OCN’s.
This is real crictical and there is a lot more work to be done educating the public and charters on proper handling/releasing of the wild coho and their importance to the fishermen and their fisheries.

Quote:
I didn't hear about a 7 day a week coho gillnet season this fall. The columbia season was the same as the year before. My catch went from 30 in oct to 10 this year.
<font size="2" face="verdana,arial,helvetica">I don’t know but several locals told me that there was a larger gill net season in 2003.
This absolutely makes no sense to me when the Type N’s (late’s) were forecast to be weak in 2003.
I was also told by several Longview area residents that there were articles stating record coho returns in 2003 which is total nonsense.
A friend of mine is supposed to get me a copy of the article from the Dailey News.

Quote:
Quasi,
Most of the hatchery fish caught out of Winchester or the entire coast for that matter, are Columbia origin hatchery fish. You are going to need to come up to here if you want to catch one. Otherwise wack em in the Ocean.
<font size="2" face="verdana,arial,helvetica">There are some hatchery coho fisheries in some coastal bays and rivers still but as mentioned earlier they have been reduced in size to help the wild fish recover.

The good news is with the phenomenal rebounding of the wild coho stocks happening, you will see more and more fisheries on individual coastal wild coho stocks that have become healthy.

Some of those would probably be the Yaquina, Siusalaw and Coos wild stocks.


Quote:
Native coho runs are index's by the spawning ground surveys.....

So systems w/o dam's have a very rough "index" at best and historically these "index's" have only been taking place for roughly 20 years with some consistancy.

With the great return over the lasr six years of coastal coho, I believe all fisheries managers are left believing that after ocean harvests where cut back and in some cases eliminated completly, left the primary culprit outside ocean survivals to mixed stock fisheries and poor hatchery practices that lead to the crash of coastal coho.
<font size="2" face="verdana,arial,helvetica">I don’t know about consistency of the spawning index’s but the preseason predictors for wild coho aren’t working!
The model simply doesn’t work and the predictors were under predicted by roughly 400% and 300% in 2002 and 2001 respectably.
Last years return of the OCN’s (escapement) were probably at least twice as large as the preseason predictor for 2003.
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Old 01-28-2004, 03:39 PM   #8
garyk
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Healthy stocks are what we all want.

I however, am not so up-beat about de-listing because the very first thing that will happen is a return to commercial overharvest - the very thing that was prime culprit in the coho collapse.

When you see ODFW and WDFW abandoning cautionary management, with both agencies willing to sacrifice Columbia wild steelhead to give gillnetters more springers, you know the commercials they're gonna go nuts over the chance to hammer coho and keep both clipped and unclipped.

BTW to BTBW, your posts would be more enjoyable if you just omitted the personal stuff - you have a strong message; the labeling and name-calling only detract from it.
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Old 01-28-2004, 03:59 PM   #9
Born to be Wild
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Default Re: A little update on OCN's & Hatchery Coho 2004

Sorry GaryK.

Maybe I will change the name labeling to extremist.
But to see the extremist groups put forth wrongfull, inaccurate and decieving info to support or promote their cause really frustrates me.
Not to mention all the time I wasted providing truefull info on this site [img]graemlins/icon_argue.gif[/img] , but it will become obvious next week of their ploy's.

Hopefully we will never see the commercial troll fleets fishing on the coho again.

Dano
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