'Tis true that a lot of the early season fish do shoot up the Deschutes at a faster pace....and typically are most natives.
But the count difference at TD Dam and JD Dam is another story. A lot of the counts at JD are last summer/fall fish that held in TD pool before heading over this spring.
Look at the counts up to 06/01:
TD - 2,063
JD - 3,746 These fish already in TD pool started moving over in March/April
Now jump to 8/10 and we have:
TD - 26,509
JD - 27,512 Discount the previous 3,746 and we have 23,766
Now some of these fish are turning up the Deschutes (I don't know how many, anyone that can chime in?) but the numbers seem reasonable between these 2 dams. Also have to bear in mind that, what? a week's worth of fish are still between the dams.
And I'm not sure that that many steelhead or salmon go through the locks like the shad do.
Back to the OT, it remains that the total steelhead counts for this year are still 46% down from the 10 yr. avg. at TD Dam and I don't think that it is just the water temp. As someone mentioned above, runs have been late everywhere this year, but????
Geez, my head hurts.