Are the ODFW offshore Coho estimates low?

[finclipped]

http://www.newsdata.com/enernet/fishletter/#1

From what I can read we have more than one model that is predicting coho return rates in the 10% range vs. the previous years jack return model which puts the return at 2.5%. With the high catch rates in the Ocean, continued good feed conditions in the Ocean, and more normal flows from a good water year, it seems reasonable to me that they could be underestimated the coho run.

Any thoughts?

[BW]

I got an estimate from the Colwitz salmon hatchery that was low also. Dosn't look good.

[Jim]

Hey BW....what was the Cowlitz estimate?

Jim

[BW]

Really wish I could remmember. We were just down there shooting the bull with the guys and the subject came up. Did not sound very good compared to the last couple of years.

[BUGLEMAN]

I wonder if something happened to just the hatchery fish. Guys are getting hammered but have to weed out alot of native spawn fish.